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"You only get one shot, do not miss your chance...opportunity comes once in a lifetime." These lines from Eminem's Lose Yourself brilliantly fit the theme of his film 8 Mile. Though the film is dressed up as a gritty urban drama, it is really just an updated version of a classic 1930s "let's do the show right here" musical. And, in its way, it is just as sentimental as any of those films. The film itself is well worth seeing, and young Marshall Mathers comes across as an attractive and hugely inventive and energetic rapper. But his engaging fluency is ultimately deployed in support of an assertion which, though seductive, is a lie - the idea that we all only have one chance. This notion has been the cornerstone of the self-help industry since the 19th century politician Samuel Smiles, and has been packaged and re-packaged down to this day.


This matters because what was once a romantic fiction - the one shot at fame and glory - is in danger of being entrenched in social policy and in individual actions. Over the past 20 years, education has become a key battleground in British politics. Central to the debate is the notion that certain moments of transition are determinant of future life. If you do not get into a good university you will never prosper in a profession. But to get into one you need to have excellent A levels, or Highers. And to get them you will need to be in an excellent secondary school. However, to do that you need to be in a good primary school - yet before that is the nursery. This is why there is extraordinary competition throughout the education system as parents jostle for what they believe is a position that provides value throughout life.

But how true is it to experience? If most lives are any judge - not true at all. There are few moments that feel decisive when you actually encounter them. And in retrospect there are even fewer that were truly significant turning points. Our lives progress in a dynamic fashion, but they are rarely linear - far more often they are refracted and angular. The name we give to our work lives is telling. We talk of having a career as if it was purposeful and we were driven. Yet the original meaning of the word "career" is not at all deterministic - it just describes the course that you took, the path that you followed. Remember that as a verb "careering" means fast and uncontrolled. We make and re-make our lives continuously. One of our greatest skills is the post hoc rationalisation that explains precisely why the job we are doing now is the result of a clear and unambiguous trajectory. It's not one shot that matters - it is the hundreds of chances we truly have. The skill is to see them all, and the trick is to take them.

John McTernan is a political analyst