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Gunn on Politics

Posted: 04 March 2004 | Subscribe Online


For newspapers the latest opinion poll or survey result can be a godsend.

There, within a couple of sentences, is a "story", an "angle" - and what we all yearn for - an easy "headline". Just think of it. The words slip into the computer. "One in three adults believe - More than half - oppose, support, reject, want, demand, love, hate..."

How many times do we see or hear these words in the daily business of news organisations trying to convince us that they have their finger on the public's pulse?
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One which caught my eye lately was "Almost six in 10 children aged 16 admit to feeling stressed out", courtesy of The Times. Having devoted the best part of a prominent page to this story, its leader had the grace to admit that if one asked a child whether he or she ever feels stressed out, then the answer is more likely to be "yes".

Equally questionable was a survey I came across while in the European Commission. This, produced by the EC itself, claimed that only 0.8 per cent of adults in the new member states had a "firm intention" to migrate in the next five years. This finding, as with all those about the likely number of central and eastern Europeans likely to come to Britain, are bandied around with total confidence but with little regard, I suspect, to reality. Yet surveys are used to dress them in some sort of authority.

What was a spate has turned into something of an epidemic of late, aided by this government's tendency to present research in a tabloid-friendly two-out-of-every-three style.
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Before I'm carted off to the law courts, I will confirm that the reputable marketing companies do, of course, canvass the views of a representative sample of "real" people.

However, we seem to have become a country governed by the latest poll findings. What is even more scary is that some people actually seem to believe them.

When The Independent newspaper was first founded, it had a principle: it would never base a front page story on an opinion poll. I believe that has changed with the times and search for readers. More's the pity.

Many of these surveys provide fairly harmless fun and conversation fodder. Others engender feelings of guilt, insecurity or inadequacy. But most worrying is the idea that some may be making firm policy decisions based solely on such findings.

Sheila Gunn is a political commentator and a Conservative councillor in the London Borough of Camden.


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