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Cuts: If they're bad now, wait until 2012

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It is almost a relief to take a break from the daily coverage of Posh 'n' Beks - that's Cameron and Brooks - to return to the subject of spending cuts.

As usual, it is bad news. Economist Duncan Weldon, writing on the False Economy blog, forecasts that the next financial year will be far more austere than this one.

With the UK economy continuing to underperform, rising unemployment will reduce the tax take while the welfare bill increases.

Chancellor George Osborne will be left with only two options: cut public spending again and raise tax.

So much for front-loading the cuts, I hear you say. 

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Is there any way out of this?

There should be, at least partly. The Treasury has discerned a £42bn hole in the UK's accounts that Osborne ought to address. This is the so-called tax gap, the difference between how much the Treasury expects to take and how much it does take. Admittedly, the figures are for 2008-9 but there is no suggestion that the gap has narrowed by much - and may even have widened.

Tax avoidance schemes (legal) and tax evasion (illegal) can both be identified as major causes. But, if the government has the gumption to launch a far-reaching crackdown, some of that £42bn could be recouped.

You never know, it might allow a little extra to be released into social care services without upsetting the chancellor's commitment to fiscal tightening.

Okay, we can dream.

Two councils are now being taken to court over cuts to children's services. 

A group of parents are taking Hammersmith and Fulham - about which I have a catalogue of gripes - to the High Court to seek to reverse the closure of 10 Sure Start centres

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Last week Hampshire confirmed funding cuts to its Sure Start programme, but at least none of the centres will shut. However, parents are pressing on with legal action through solicitors Leigh Day & Co.

Similarly, in the west London borough - said to be David Cameron's favourite - H&F Parents Unite, which is on Facebook, has instructed the same law firm to file legal papers.

Hammersmith and Fulham and Hampshire are accused of breaking the Children's Act 2006, which requires local authorities to consult before they close any children's centre.

If the parents are successful, stand by for the fabled domino effect. 

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 Guide to using the law to challenge social care service cuts

Picture: Rex Features

Anyone going to the pro-cuts rally?

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I had always believed that marches in favour of a government were limited to countries such as Syria and North Korea, where a combination of threats at gunpoint and financial inducements sends the party faithful on to the streets.

So it was with some surprise to find on the Total Politics website an article calling on the British populace to march in London on 14 May in the Rally Against Debt in support of the UK government's spending cuts. An alternative to the Alternative (pictured), no less. 

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The Guardian reports that writer Toby Young is one of the supporters. Young is renowned in west London as the founder of a so-called free school which, paradoxically, is happy to take apparently scant government money. No cuts for you, then, Toby.

The Rally Against Debt already has a website (although you need to register) and a Facebook page. Rabid activists can add a Twibbon to their Twitter avatar.

And don't forget the placards. Stand by for "Speak down for public services", "Miliband, you cad", "Dole not Prole", "Up with all this" and portraits of George "Slasher" Osborne held aloft much as President Assad's mug is paraded in Damascus.

Who knows, there may even be a breakaway group invading nearby council offices to rearrange the files, or poetry reading at the Elizabeth Duke counter at Argos.

The Total Politics article claims that only 0.2% of the population turned out for the March for the Alternative, rendering it a failure in the author's eyes. "It wasn't an organic outpouring of anger," he writes. The mind goes on overdrive speculating what ought to constitute anger. The final scenes from If?

Perhaps unwittingly he has set the bar for a respectable turnout. Can the Rally Against Debt rise above the 0.2% mark?

Go on, I dare you to go. But stand on the other side of the street. Your opponents will be the ones in the top hats.

About Outside Left

   
  Outside Left questions the thinking behind today’s social policy, with a sometimes wry, occasionally cynical, always straight-talking look at the political elite that shapes it, written by sub editor, Mike McNabb.

 

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